WS.11

Evaluating data

Indicative relationship: Activate 1 · Working Scientifically
KS3 science lesson

Evaluating data

Lesson focus: asks whether the is strong enough to support the conclusion.

Learning objective

Evaluate a method and conclusion using and realistic improvements.

Build on earlier learning

Analysing data

Revisit how patterns, variation and anomalies are identified during analysis.

You will be successful when you can…

  • Judge whether a conclusion matches the data.
  • Distinguish random variation from systematic bias.
  • Link each limitation to its likely effect.
  • Suggest a realistic improvement targeted at the limitation.
KEY VOCABULARY

Words that carry the science

evaluation
A reasoned judgement about evidence, method and conclusion.
random error
Unpredictable variation causing repeated values to scatter.
systematic error
A consistent bias shifting measurements in the same direction.
limitation
A feature restricting confidence or the scope of a conclusion.
reliability
The consistency of evidence when measurements or investigations are repeated.
BUILD YOUR UNDERSTANDING

Evaluate the strength and limits of evidence

01Judge claim against evidence

A conclusion should answer the question and match the direction, size and uncertainty in the results. Avoid “proved” when the evidence only supports a pattern under tested conditions.

Check range, repeats, anomalies and whether a confounder offers another explanation. These determine how widely the claim can apply.

Living things vary, so testing one plant or one person is weak evidence. That one might be unusual. Use several and compare their mean.

02Diagnose the error type

produces scatter, such as variable human reaction time. Repeats and a mean can reveal and reduce its influence on the summary.

shifts readings consistently, such as a balance that reads +2 g when empty. More repeats reproduce the bias; calibration or method change is needed.

03Target the improvement

Write limitation → effect → improvement. “Heat escaped, so measured cooling included uncontrolled energy transfer; add a lid and insulation” is stronger than “use better equipment”.

Improvements must be feasible and likely to matter. Adding repeats does not fix every .

In the first panel repeated measurements scatter on both sides of the reference value. In the second panel a similar cluster is consistently shifted above the reference value.Random variationSystematic shiftrepeats scatter around referencecluster is consistently displaced
Figure · Schematic patterns, not experimental data. Repeats help expose random variation; calibration or method correction is needed to address systematic bias.
Evaluation chain

A strong evaluation makes every reasoning link explicit.

  1. EvidenceWhat pattern, variation or anomaly is present?
  2. LimitationWhat feature of method or sample restricts confidence?
  3. EffectHow could it change measurements or interpretation?
  4. ImprovementWhat targeted change would reduce that effect?
  5. JudgementHow confident and how broad can the conclusion be?
Generic statements such as “human error” are replaced by a specific action and its predicted effect.
Interactive model

Repeat readings and the mean

A ruler is dropped and caught; the distance it falls gives the reaction time. Each reading has random error, so repeat it. The mean of many readings settles down, and an anomaly stands out.

Reading 1: 54.4 cm → 0.333 sFingersMean so far 0.333 s

Controls

± 30 ms typical
Anomaly (reading 7)
Readings used1
Mean0.333 s
Range0.000 s
Mean is off the true value by83 ms

Readings are illustrative; the true value (0.25 s) is never known in a real experiment. Repeats do not remove random error, but the mean of many readings is closer to the true value.

Individual readings scatter around 0.25 s; the running mean wanders at first and then settles close to 0.25 s.051015200.10.20.30.40.5ReadingsRunning meanTrue value (illustrative)Reading numberReaction time / s
WORKED EXAMPLE

Target an improvement

A student times a 2-second event by hand once at each condition.

  1. Limitation: manual start and stop reaction time is large relative to the event.
  2. Effect: measured times may vary unpredictably and obscure condition differences.
  3. Improvement: use automated timing or video analysis; also repeat each condition.
  4. Judgement: current evidence is weak because one reading cannot show variation.

How to make the reasoning visible: Explain why the improvement changes the evidence, not only what new equipment to use.

LEARN BY DOING

Error diagnosis

Match each observation to the likely issue and most useful response.

ObservationLikely issueTargeted response
Repeated times scatter around a similar centreRandom variationRepeat and calculate mean; standardise technique
Balance reads 2.0 g when emptySystematic zero errorTare or calibrate before measuring
One value is far from close repeatsPossible anomalyCheck record and repeat that condition
Only two independent-variable valuesLimited rangeAdd safe intermediate values
  1. The balance reads 2.0 g with nothing on it. Why won’t doing more repeats fix this?

  2. A test used only two temperatures. Finish this chain: problem → what it means → how to improve.

  3. One value is far from the other repeats. What should the student do?

RETRIEVE · APPLY · CHECK

Check your understanding

Answer from memory, then check against the suggested answer.

What does random error do to repeated results?

What does systematic error do?

What makes a good improvement?

What is a limitation?

How can you reduce the effect of random error?

Apply the idea

A student tests plant growth using only one plant for each condition. What is the problem, and how can they improve it?

Stretch and challenge

A balance gives the same reading every time, but the reading is wrong. Can results be repeatable but still wrong? Explain.

A thermometer always reads 1 °C too high. Is this a random or systematic error? How can you tell?

Exam Question Practice

WS.11Evaluate5 marks

Exam Question Practice

Mark points shown after marking

A student tested how temperature affects the time for sugar to dissolve. They tested 20 °C and 60 °C, once each. They concluded: “Increasing temperature always decreases dissolving time.” Answer the parts to evaluate this conclusion.

(a)

Why is the word “always” a problem?

(1)
(b)

Each temperature was tested only once. Why is this a problem?

(1)
(c)

Suggest how to improve the range of temperatures tested.

(1)
(d)

Suggest how to make the result at each temperature more trustworthy.

(1)
(e)

Give your judgement. Finish the sentence: “The evidence suggests that … but it cannot show …”

(1)

Total for this question: 5 marks

Command word: For , say what is good and what is weak, then finish with your judgement.

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